99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Tennessee · Tennessee's 3rd District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Chuck Fleischmann

RepublicanIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Tennessee's 3rd District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%
● Anna Golladay● Chuck FleischmannINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Tennessee's 3rd District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
8 (8 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Tennessee, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 67.5% · 236,519 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 68.4% · 136,639 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 67.3% · 215,571 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 63.7% · 156,512 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 66.4% · 176,613 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 4, 2014

    R · 62.4% · 97,344 votes

    Won
  7. 2012

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 6, 2012

    R · 61.5% · 157,830 votes

    Won
  8. 2010

    U.S. House · TN-3 Nov 2, 2010

    R · 56.8% · 92,032 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$2.7M
From individuals
$1.7M
Spent
$879.3K
Cash on hand
$5.1M

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026