99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Tennessee · Tennessee's 5th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Chaz Molder

Democratic

Mayor of Columbia (2018–present)

2026 race · Tennessee's 5th District

5% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

5%95%

4% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

4%96%
● Chaz Molder● Charlie Hatcher
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
Local office

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$2.6M
From individuals
$2.4M
Spent
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$1.5M

Money: FEC, through Jul 17, 2026.

Opponents in 2026