Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
Hawaii · Hawaii House District 44 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
2026 race · Hawaii House District 44
22% chance of winning · race rated Lean D
62% chance of winning · race rated Lean R
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)