Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
South Dakota · South Dakota Legislative District 27 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
2026 race · South Dakota Legislative District 27
78% chance of winning · race rated Lean D
56% chance of winning · race rated Toss-up
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)