99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Kentucky · Kentucky's 2nd District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Brett Guthrie

RepublicanIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Kentucky's 2nd District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%
● Megan Wingfield● Brett GuthrieINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Kentucky's 2nd District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
11 (11 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Kentucky, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 73.1% · 252,826 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 71.9% · 170,486 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 71.0% · 255,728 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 66.7% · 171,700 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 100.0% · 251,917 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 4, 2014

    R · 69.2% · 156,936 votes

    Won
  7. 2012

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 6, 2012

    R · 64.3% · 181,508 votes

    Won
  8. 2010

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 2, 2010

    R · 67.9% · 155,906 votes

    Won
  9. 2008

    U.S. House · KY-2 Nov 4, 2008

    R · 52.6% · 158,936 votes

    Won
  10. 2006

    State Senate · SD-32 Nov 7, 2006

    R · 100.0% · 21,695 votes

    Won
  11. 2002

    State Senate · SD-32 Nov 5, 2002

    R · 100.0% · 19,498 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$4.7M
From individuals
$1.7M
Spent
$3.4M
Cash on hand
$1.7M

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026