Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
Vermont · Vermont Governor · Updated Oct 16, 2026
Economist
2026 race · Vermont Governor
31% chance of winning · race rated Lean R
65% chance of winning · race rated Lean D
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)