99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Alaska · Alaska House District 38 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Willy Keppel

RepublicanRCVTop four

2026 race · Alaska House District 38

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

2% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

98%2%
● Nellie “Unangiq” JimmieINC● Willy KeppelAlso: CJ McCormick (D), Joseph Amik (I)
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
4 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Alaska, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-38 Nov 5, 2024

    I · 25.9% · 971 votes

    Lost
  2. 2022

    State Senate · SD-S Nov 8, 2022

    OTH · 34.9% · 2,378 votes

    Lost
  3. 2020

    House of Representatives · HD-38 Nov 3, 2020

    I · 37.7% · 1,919 votes

    Lost
  4. 2002

    State Senate · SD-S Nov 5, 2002

    R · 33.0% · 2,241 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026