99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Iowa · Iowa House District 57 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Shawn Ellerbroek

Democratic

2026 race · Iowa House District 57

2% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

2%98%

4% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

4%96%
● Shawn Ellerbroek● Pat GrassleyINC
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Iowa, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-57 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 39.8% · 7,180 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026