99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Florida · Florida House District 5 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Shane Abbott

RepublicanIncumbent

2026 race · Florida House District 5

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%
● Alex Finney● Shane AbbottINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Florida House of Representatives, HD-5
Past races on file
2 (2 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Florida, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-5 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 80.4% · 77,821 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    House of Representatives · HD-5 Nov 8, 2022

    R · Unopposed (no votes counted)

    Won

Opponents in 2026