99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Connecticut · Connecticut House District 44 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Samantha Derenthal

DemocraticFusion

2026 race · Connecticut House District 44

1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

1%99%

3% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

3%97%
● Samantha Derenthal● Anne DauphinaisINC
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Connecticut, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-44 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 36.7% · 4,041 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026