99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 23 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Pesach Osina

DemocraticFusion

Commissioner of the Commission on Racial Equity (CORE)

2026 race · New York Assembly District 23

60% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

60%40%

33% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

33%68%
● Pesach Osina● Thomas Sullivan
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$143.3K
From individuals
$96.2K
Spent
$278.7K
Public matching funds
$279.3K
Small donors (≤$250)
41% of individual money
Contributions
582

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 28, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. NYC District Council of Carpenters · $6K
  2. Real Estate Board · $6K
  3. Simon Pelman · $6K
  4. Stacey Pheffer Amato For Assembly 2026 · $3K
  5. 32BJ United ADF · $3K

Opponents in 2026