Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
Oregon · Oregon House District 22 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
2026 race · Oregon House District 22
5% chance of winning · race rated Solid D
15% chance of winning · race rated Likely D
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)