Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Arizona · Arizona Legislative District 15 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Neal Carter

RepublicanIncumbentR vs R2 seats

Electoral history

Earlier races in Arizona, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · LD-15 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 37.6% · 75,419 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    House of Representatives · LD-15 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 48.0% · 53,883 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026