Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York's 17th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Mike Lawler

RepublicanIncumbentFusion

Incumbent U.S. representative

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · NY-17 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 52.2% · 197,844 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · NY-17 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 50.3% · 143,550 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    State Assembly · AD-97 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 52.2% · 29,936 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$10M
From individuals
$3.8M
Spent
$7.3M
Cash on hand
$2.9M

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026