99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Pennsylvania · Pennsylvania's 4th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Madeleine Dean

DemocraticIncumbent

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Pennsylvania's 4th District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%
● Madeleine DeanINC● Aurora Stuski
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Pennsylvania's 4th District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$1.9M
From individuals
$953.7K
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
$1.4M

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026