99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New Hampshire · New Hampshire House of Representatives: State House District Merrimack 05 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Lorna Carlisle

Democratic2 seats

2026 race · New Hampshire House of Representatives: State House District Merrimack 05

6% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

6%94%

12% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

12%88%
● Lorna Carlisle● Louise AndrusINCAlso: Thomas Ware (D), Deborah Aylward (R)
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
2 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New Hampshire, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-605 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 22.1% · 2,082 votes

    Lost
  2. 2022

    House of Representatives · HD-MERRIMACK 5 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 23.2% · 3,326 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026