Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Montana · Montana Senate District 4 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kyle Waterman

Democratic

Nominee for this district in 2022 and for the second senate district in 2020

Electoral history

Earlier races in Montana, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    State Senate · SD-4 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 37.8% · 3,149 votes

    Lost
  2. 2020

    State Senate · SD-2 Nov 3, 2020

    D · 31.7% · 4,066 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026