99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Massachusetts · Massachusetts State Senate: Plymouth and Barnstable District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Kari MacRae

Republican

2026 race · Massachusetts State Senate: Plymouth and Barnstable District

1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%

6% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

94%6%
● Dylan FernandesINC● Kari MacRae
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Massachusetts, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    State Senate · SD-D39 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 43.7% · 38,493 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026