99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Iowa · Iowa House District 23 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Karen Varley

Democratic

2026 race · Iowa House District 23

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

<1%>99%
● Karen Varley● Ray Bubba SorensenINC
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Iowa, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-23 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 27.8% · 4,939 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026