Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California · California's 52nd District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Juan Vargas

DemocraticIncumbentTop two

Incumbent U.S. representative

Electoral history

Earlier races in California, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · CA-52 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 66.3% · 172,178 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · CA-52 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 66.7% · 100,668 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · CA-51 Nov 3, 2020

    D · 68.3% · 165,596 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · CA-51 Nov 6, 2018

    D · 71.2% · 109,527 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    U.S. House · CA-51 Nov 8, 2016

    D · 72.8% · 145,161 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    U.S. House · CA-51 Nov 4, 2014

    D · 68.8% · 56,373 votes

    Won
  7. 2012

    U.S. House · CA-51 Nov 6, 2012

    D · 71.5% · 113,934 votes

    Won
  8. 2010

    State Senate · SD-40 Nov 2, 2010

    D · 59.4% · 101,767 votes

    Won
  9. 2004

    State Assembly · AD-79 Nov 2, 2004

    D · 85.3% · 78,565 votes

    Won
  10. 2002

    State Assembly · AD-79 Nov 5, 2002

    D · 65.8% · 37,479 votes

    Won
  11. 2000

    State Assembly · AD-79 Nov 7, 2000

    D · 77.4% · 55,689 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$791K
From individuals
$251.7K
Spent
$555.1K
Cash on hand
$326.8K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026