Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
Michigan · Michigan Senate District 21 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
2026 race · Michigan Senate District 21
<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D
4% chance of winning · race rated Solid D
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)