99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New Hampshire · New Hampshire House of Representatives: State House District Rockingham 15 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Joe A. Guthrie

RepublicanIncumbent2 seats

2026 race · New Hampshire House of Representatives: State House District Rockingham 15

98% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

2%98%

95% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

5%95%
● Laurie A. Warnock● Joe A. GuthrieINCAlso: Lisa DeMio (D), Lilli Walsh (R)
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New Hampshire House of Representatives, HD-715
Past races on file
8 (8 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New Hampshire, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-715 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 31.2% · 3,292 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    House of Representatives · HD-715 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 31.1% · 2,604 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    House of Representatives · HD-713 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 16.3% · 5,407 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    House of Representatives · HD-713 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 26.1% · 4,117 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    House of Representatives · HD-713 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 17.2% · 4,752 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    House of Representatives · HD-713 Nov 4, 2014

    R · 17.3% · 3,607 votes

    Won
  7. 2014

    House of Representatives · HD-713 primary · Sep 9, 2014

    R · 20.0% · 860 votes

    Won
  8. 2006

    House of Representatives · HD-ROCKINGHAM 8 Nov 7, 2006

    R · 15.8% · 4,936 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026