99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

North Carolina · North Carolina Senate District 11 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

James Gailliard

Democratic

2026 race · North Carolina Senate District 11

68% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

68%32%

65% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

65%35%
● James Gailliard● Lisa Stone BarnesINCAlso: Gavin Bell (L)
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
4 (2 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in North Carolina, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    House of Representatives · HD-25 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 44.7% · 15,128 votes

    Lost
  2. 2020

    House of Representatives · HD-25 Nov 3, 2020

    D · 51.6% · 44,728 votes

    Won
  3. 2018

    House of Representatives · HD-25 Nov 6, 2018

    D · 51.5% · 15,858 votes

    Won
  4. 2016

    House of Representatives · HD-25 Nov 8, 2016

    D · 31.9% · 13,099 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026