99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California · California Assembly District 1 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Heather Hadwick

RepublicanIncumbentTop two

2026 race · California Assembly District 1

98% chance of winning · race rated Solid R

2%98%

90% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

10%90%
● Dianna Margaret James● Heather HadwickINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
California State Assembly, AD-1
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
1 (1 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in California, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    State Assembly · AD-1 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 59.8% · 125,185 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026