99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York's 8th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Hakeem Jeffries

DemocraticIncumbentFusion

Incumbent U.S. representative and House minority leader

2026 race · New York's 8th District

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Hakeem JeffriesINC● Lewis Mizrahi
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New York's 8th District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
11 (10 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 75.4% · 168,036 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 71.7% · 99,079 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 3, 2020

    D · 84.8% · 234,933 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 6, 2018

    D · 94.2% · 180,376 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 8, 2016

    D · 93.3% · 214,595 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 4, 2014

    D · 92.0% · 77,255 votes

    Won
  7. 2012

    U.S. House · NY-8 Nov 6, 2012

    D · 90.2% · 184,038 votes

    Won
  8. 2010

    State Assembly · AD-57 Nov 2, 2010

    D · 97.5% · 25,899 votes

    Won
  9. 2008

    State Assembly · AD-57 Nov 4, 2008

    D · 98.0% · 39,992 votes

    Won
  10. 2006

    State Assembly · AD-57 Nov 7, 2006

    D · 97.0% · 19,551 votes

    Won
  11. 2000

    State Assembly · AD-57 Nov 7, 2000

    I · 7.2% · 2,254 votes

    Lost

Fundraising

Raised
$14.9M
From individuals
$10.9M
Spent
$14.9M
Cash on hand
$5M

Money: FEC, through Jun 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026