99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Texas · Texas House District 54 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Dawn Richardson

Democratic

2026 race · Texas House District 54

8% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

8%92%

20% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

20%80%
● Dawn Richardson● Brad BuckleyINC
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Texas, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    House of Representatives · HD-54 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 38.9% · 21,993 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026