Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.
Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.
California · California Senate District 14 · Updated Oct 16, 2026
2026 race · California Senate District 14
3% chance of winning · race rated Solid D
14% chance of winning · race rated Likely D
Background
Links: Candidate list (source)