99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

California · California Senate District 20 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Caroline Menjivar

DemocraticIncumbentTop two

2026 race · California Senate District 20

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Caroline MenjivarINC● Tony Rodriguez
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
California State Senate, SD-20
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
1 (1 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in California, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    State Senate · SD-20 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 58.5% · 88,358 votes

    Won

Opponents in 2026