99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Maryland · Maryland Delegate District 4 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Andrew Duck

Democratic3 seats

2026 race · Maryland Delegate District 4

19% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

19%81%

38% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

38%62%
● Andrew Duck● April Fleming MillerINCAlso: Jason Keckler (R), Jesse Pippy (R), Jerry Donald (D)
Full race forecast

Background

Past races on file
3 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Maryland, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    House of Delegates · HD-4 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 15.3% · 24,489 votes

    Lost
  2. 2010

    U.S. House · MD-6 Nov 2, 2010

    D · 33.2% · 80,455 votes

    Lost
  3. 2006

    U.S. House · MD-6 Nov 7, 2006

    D · 38.5% · 92,030 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026