99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

Oregon · Oregon's 6th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Andrea Salinas

DemocraticIncumbentFusion

Incumbent U.S. representative

2026 race · Oregon's 6th District

99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%

95% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

95%5%
● Andrea SalinasINC● David Russ
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
Oregon's 6th District
Experience
Statewide office or Congress
Past races on file
4 (4 won)

Links: Wikipedia · FEC filings · Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in Oregon, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · OR-6 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 53.4% · 180,869 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    U.S. House · OR-6 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 50.1% · 147,156 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    House of Representatives · HD-38 Nov 3, 2020

    D · 72.4% · 31,911 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    House of Representatives · HD-38 Nov 6, 2018

    D · 100.0% · 25,974 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$1.9M
From individuals
$1.1M
Spent
$1.4M
Cash on hand
$646.3K

Money: FEC, through Sep 30, 2026.

Opponents in 2026