Pollsters · Updated Oct 17, 2026
The Argument/Verasight
24 public polls in the 2026 cycle of the generic congressional ballot. Latest: Sep 22, 2026.
- Polls
- 240 in 0 races · 24 generic ballot
- 538 rating
- —Not rated by 538
- House effect
- D+0.6Against other polls, in today's forecast
Its polls run 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races; the forecast removes that before averaging.
Generic congressional ballot
Which party voters would back for the House. The national House forecast.
| Dates | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | Margin | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16–Sep 22 | — LV | 55 | 45 | D+10 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Sep 16–Sep 22 | — LV | 50 | 41 | D+9 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Sep 16–Sep 22 | 1,603 RV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Sep 16–Sep 22 | 1,603 RV | 48 | 41 | D+7 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Jul 20–Jul 26 | 3,000 RV | 54 | 46 | D+8 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Jul 20–Jul 26 | 3,000 RV | 48 | 40 | D+8 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| May 29–Jun 3 | 3,008 RV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Apr 20–Apr 23 | 1,516 RV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Apr 20–Apr 23 | 1,516 RV | 47 | 40 | D+7 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Mar 12–Mar 17 | 1,519 RV | 54 | 46 | D+8 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Mar 12–Mar 17 | 1,519 RV | 46 | 40 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Feb 4–Feb 10 | 3,003 RV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Feb 4–Feb 10 | 3,003 RV | 46 | 41 | D+5 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Jan 26–Jan 27 | 1,515 RV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Jan 26–Jan 27 | 1,515 RV | 46 | 42 | D+4 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Dec 5–Dec 11 | — LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Dec 5–Dec 11 | 1,521 RV | 50 | 49 | D+1 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Dec 5–Dec 11 | 1,521 RV | 44 | 42 | D+2 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Nov 10–Nov 17 | — LV | 54 | 46 | D+8 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Nov 10–Nov 17 | 1,508 RV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Nov 10–Nov 17 | 1,508 RV | 46 | 42 | D+4 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Oct 10–Oct 16 | 1,530 RV | 51 | 49 | D+2 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Aug 18–Aug 21 | 1,562 RV | 45 | 42 | D+3 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |
| Aug 18–Aug 21 | 1,562 RV | 51 | 49 | D+2 | theargumentmag.com ↗ |