Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 127 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Timothy Kelly

RepublicanFusion

Chair of the Manlius zoning board

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    State Assembly · AD-127 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 43.4% · 31,710 votes

    Lost
  2. 2002

    State Assembly · AD-97 Nov 5, 2002

    RTL · 2.5% · 771 votes

    Lost
  3. 2000

    State Assembly · AD-95 Nov 7, 2000

    RTL · 2.6% · 1,248 votes

    Lost

Fundraising

Raised
$10.9K
Spent
$19.6K
Small donors (≤$250)
79% of individual money
Contributions
176

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 28, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. Sergio Bellavia · $500
  2. John Vidakovic · $302
  3. Michelle Cretaro · $260
  4. Edmond Theobald · $260
  5. Kevin Holmquist · $260

Opponents in 2026