99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Senate District 5 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Steven Rhoads

RepublicanOn 2 ballot lines: Republican, Conservative.IncumbentFusion

Incumbent senator

2026 race · New York Senate District 5

89% chance of winning · race rated Likely R

11%89%

79% chance of winning · race rated Lean R

21%79%
● Andrew Piddoubny● Steven RhoadsINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New York State Senate, SD-5 · since 2022
First elected
2022
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
2 (2 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    State Senate · SD-5 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 61.3% · 106,245 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    State Senate · SD-5 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 60.8% · 80,693 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$147.2K
From individuals
$74.6K
Spent
$176.2K
Public matching funds
$375K
Small donors (≤$250)
53% of individual money
Contributions
534

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 26, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENG PAC · $6.8K
  2. LAWPAC Of New York · $5.5K
  3. New York State Laborers · $5K
  4. ANTHEM HEALTH PAC · $3.5K
  5. STATE STREET ASSOCIASTES PAC · $3.5K

Opponents in 2026