99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 103 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Sarahana Shrestha

DemocraticIncumbentFusion

Incumbent assemblymember

2026 race · New York Assembly District 103

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

>99% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Sarahana ShresthaINC● Santos Lopez
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New York State Assembly, AD-103
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
2 (2 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    State Assembly · AD-103 Nov 5, 2024

    D · 64.6% · 56,212 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    State Assembly · AD-103 Nov 8, 2022

    D · 61.6% · 40,111 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$22.7K
From individuals
$20.8K
Spent
$33.4K
Public matching funds
$43.8K
Small donors (≤$250)
78% of individual money
Contributions
458

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 28, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. 1199 SEIU · $2K
  2. Douglas Land · $1K
  3. Noah Kippley Ogman · $500
  4. Elijah Nella · $500
  5. Amanda Schoonmaker · $407

Opponents in 2026