99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Senate District 23 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Ruslan Shamal

RepublicanOn 2 ballot lines: Republican, Conservative.Fusion

Radio presenter and candidate for New York City Council in 2023

2026 race · New York Senate District 23

8% chance of winning · race rated Likely D

92%8%

32% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

68%32%
● Jessica Scarcella-SpantonINC● Ruslan Shamal
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Candidate list (source)

Opponents in 2026