Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York's 15th District · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Gonzalo Duran

ConservativeFusion

Conservative activist and nominee for this seat in 2024

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    U.S. House · NY-15 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 21.1% · 36,010 votes

    Lost

Opponents in 2026