99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 146 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

George McNerny

RepublicanFusion

Western New York regional director for Congresswoman Claudia Tenney

2026 race · New York Assembly District 146

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%
● Karen McMahonINC● George McNerny
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Candidate list (source)

Opponents in 2026