99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 61 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Casey O'Connor Manasia

RepublicanFusion

2026 race · New York Assembly District 61

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%

<1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

>99%<1%
● Charles FallINC● Casey O'Connor Manasia
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
No elected office

Links: Candidate list (source)

Fundraising

Raised
$12K
From individuals
$11.8K
Spent
$3.4K
Small donors (≤$250)
79% of individual money
Contributions
157

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 28, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. Ken Reilly · $609
  2. Sam Pirozzolo · $500
  3. Diane Viets · $500
  4. Casey O'Conner Manasia · $391
  5. Scott Kuhl · $350

Opponents in 2026