99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Assembly District 96 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Brett Yagel

RepublicanFusion

Former mayor of Pomona

2026 race · New York Assembly District 96

1% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

99%1%

5% chance of winning · race rated Solid D

95%5%
● Patrick CarrollINC● Brett Yagel
Full race forecast

Background

Experience
Local office
Past races on file
1 (0 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2022

    State Assembly · AD-96 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 41.5% · 18,640 votes

    Lost

Fundraising

Raised
$10.2K
Spent
$66K
Public matching funds
$60.4K
Small donors (≤$250)
67% of individual money
Contributions
120

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 27, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. Ronald Diz · $565
  2. Brett Yagel · $500
  3. Megan Chaang · $500
  4. Bonnie Garvey · $500
  5. John Azzariti · $500

Opponents in 2026