99chambers

Horizon · our Election Day forecast: polls, plus fundamentals like incumbency, fundraising and past results.

Pulse · polls only: where the races stand today, with no fundamentals and wider uncertainty.

What's the difference?

New York · New York Senate District 1 · Updated Oct 16, 2026

Anthony Palumbo

RepublicanOn 2 ballot lines: Republican, Conservative.IncumbentFusion

Incumbent senator

2026 race · New York Senate District 1

34% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

66%34%

27% chance of winning · race rated Lean D

73%27%
● E. Christopher Murray● Anthony PalumboINC
Full race forecast

Background

Current office
New York Senate District 1 · since 2020
First elected
2020
Experience
State legislature
Past races on file
6 (6 won)

Links: Candidate list (source)

Electoral history

Earlier races in New York, newest first, matched by name in the results archive.

  1. 2024

    State Senate · SD-1 Nov 5, 2024

    R · 52.9% · 87,591 votes

    Won
  2. 2022

    State Senate · SD-1 Nov 8, 2022

    R · 56.0% · 73,624 votes

    Won
  3. 2020

    State Senate · SD-1 Nov 3, 2020

    R · 51.4% · 87,563 votes

    Won
  4. 2018

    State Assembly · AD-2 Nov 6, 2018

    R · 59.2% · 31,242 votes

    Won
  5. 2016

    State Assembly · AD-2 Nov 8, 2016

    R · 67.0% · 39,795 votes

    Won
  6. 2014

    State Assembly · AD-2 Nov 4, 2014

    R · 63.0% · 22,334 votes

    Won

Fundraising

Raised
$97.4K
From individuals
$39.5K
Spent
$183K
Public matching funds
$166K
Small donors (≤$250)
46% of individual money
Contributions
445

Money: NYS Board of Elections, through Sep 28, 2026.

Top contributors
  1. Rpac Of Nys · $5K
  2. Margaretta Taylor · $5K
  3. International Union of Engineers PAC · $3.8K
  4. Suffolk AME PAC · $3.6K
  5. Suffolk County Pba Pac · $3K

Opponents in 2026